No one had “Deshaun Watson will get traded earlier than the deadline” on their bingo card for the 2021 NFL season, however right here we’re. The concept of the Texans discovering a commerce associate for the quarterback primarily died as quickly as the breadth of investigations into alleged sexual assault started. Now there are recent, official rumors Watson could possibly be dealt as early as this week — and it’s one of the vital mystifying commerce situations in current reminiscence.
Let’s begin by saying that little or no is thought concerning the actual particulars of the commerce presently. It started early on Wednesday afternoon with revered Texans beat author John McClain saying Watson could possibly be traded to the Miami Dolphins “as early as this week,” with one other beat author, Coty M. Davis, later saying it’s believed to be a 3 staff deal that may ship Tua Tagovailoa to the Washington Soccer Group as properly.
It’s abundantly clear with Watson’s standing being so tenuous and pending extraordinarily severe investigations that Houston won’t get the bevy of first rounds picks and gamers they as soon as hoped to acquire in a commerce. Including Washington to the combo is a wrinkle, presumably so as to add some picks and reduce the longer term price for Miami. For sake of debate let’s function beneath the idea that the commerce would appear to be this:
Miami Dolphins obtain: QB Deshaun Watson
Washington Soccer Group obtain: QB Tua Tagovailoa
Houston Texans obtain: 2022 1st spherical choose (from Miami), 2022 2nd spherical choose (from Miami), 2022 2nd spherical choose (from Washington), 2022 third spherical choose (from Miami)
I anticipate there will probably be extra conditional picks in. For instance maybe one other choose strikes to Miami if Tua makes a Professional Bowl, or the Dolphins must ship one other first to Houston if Watson performs 80 % of snaps in 2022.
These are all of the high quality particulars that are too troublesome to work out. The true query is: Does any of this make sense?
What does Houston achieve?
This half is the obvious: They offload a headache. The connection between Watson and the Texans was dangerous earlier than the allegations emerged, and there was an actual likelihood Houston would have seemed to commerce him anyway.
Naturally the hope can be they’ll get an even bigger return for a participant who, when on the sector, is among the greatest quarterbacks within the NFL with out query. Nevertheless, his off-field points have made it completely untenable — which probably ends in getting far lower than they hoped for.
What does Miami achieve?
Truthfully it feels gross to actually take a look at this like a “win.” There are such a lot of components to the investigation into Watson that any commerce would instantly be met by NFL intervention, ought to the Dolphins attempt to put Watson on the sector.
The concept right here can be that Miami is taking a mulligan on the 12 months after completely failing to construct off their 2020 marketing campaign that just about took the staff to the playoffs. The expectation is the staff might surge ahead, and as an alternative they’re 1-5 and coming off a loss to the Jaguars.
Buying and selling for Watson would primarily be a raffle that he can return to the sector, and an admission that Tagovailoa isn’t the participant the Dolphins hoped he’d be. It might additionally lower off comparisons to Justin Herbert, who was chosen after Tua and has shortly change into top-of-the-line younger quarterbacks within the league.
Nevertheless, it’s unclear when Watson would even be capable of play. If he was added to the lively roster the NFL would absolutely step in and instantly droop him. This reeks of a panic transfer designed to avoid wasting face with no clear imaginative and prescient for the longer term, and one that would completely backfire and end result within the Dolphins sending picks, and their quarterback away — getting nothing in return.
What does Washington achieve?
The Washington Soccer Group elected to cross on quarterbacks every of the final two drafts, as an alternative leaning on Ryan Fitzpatrick and Taylor Heinicke to hold the load. That’s gone actually poorly.
Now we have to imagine the staff believes Tagovailoa is being misused in Miami, and so they can coax the expertise out of him so many noticed previous to the draft. Keep in mind: Tua was probably the most coveted quarterback throughout 2019, and was a lock to be the No. 1 choose previous to being injured.
So, the staff is actually in search of a high-upside win for a reasonably low funding. Contemplating they want a quarterback for the longer term, they may do lots worse.
What will we make of all this?
It’s bizarre. It’s bizarre as hell. I don’t perceive the will to push this by way of now by any occasion contemplating the dangers at play from a soccer perspective, or the PR nightmare for actively buying and selling for a participant beneath investigation for sexual assault.
If wild situation come to cross we’ll be prepared to interrupt it down because it occurs.